AI Trading Analysis System

7 Specialized AI Agents • Self-Learning • 24/7 Monitoring

Polymarket Opportunity
$1B+
Monthly Trading Volume

January 2026 • Confidential

01

The Vision

"What if AI could predict the future better than humans?"

What We're Building

  • 🧠 7 Specialized AI Agents working together
  • 📊 Real-time market signals + bias-weighted news
  • 🔄 Self-learning system that improves over time
  • 🌙 24/7 monitoring finding opportunities while you sleep

Why It Matters

  • ✓ Different markets need different analysis
  • ✓ News bias distorts predictions
  • ✓ One AI model isn't enough
  • ✓ Humans can't monitor 500+ markets
02

Three Analysis Modes

Choose depth based on position size and importance

QUICK
~100ms
FREE
Signal Engine only
Screen 500+ markets instantly
🧠
STANDARD
~30 seconds
~$0.15
3 AI Agents in parallel
Normal trading decisions
RECOMMENDED
🔬
DEEP
~3 minutes
~$1.00
7 AI Agents workflow
High-stakes $10k+ positions

Smart Budget: $50/day cap • $1,500/month maximum • Automatic cost optimization

03

The 7-Agent Swarm

Specialized AI agents working together

📊
SPECIALIST
o3-mini
Probability estimation, Kelly sizing, quantitative analysis
💻
CODER
Gemini Flash
Data validation, news verification, calculations
QA
Claude Sonnet
Bias detection, quality review, logical errors
🔒
SECURITY
Claude Haiku
Risk assessment, manipulation detection
🏗️
ARCHITECT
Claude Opus
Final synthesis, complex reasoning, judgment
📚
LIBRARIAN
Gemini Flash
Context gathering, historical research
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Token Cost Breakdown

Per 1 million tokens (all providers)

Claude Opus 4.5
Anthropic • Premium reasoning
Input
$15.00
Output
$75.00
Claude Sonnet 4.5
Anthropic • Balanced
Input
$3.00
Output
$15.00
Claude Haiku 4.5
Anthropic • Fast & cheap
Input
$0.80
Output
$4.00
o3-mini
OpenAI • Reasoning specialist
Input
$1.10
Output
$4.40
Gemini 2.0 Flash
Google • Ultra-fast
Input
$0.10
Output
$0.40
Llama 3.3 70B
Groq • Open source
Input
$0.59
Output
$0.79
05

Market Category Presets

Each category gets optimized weights — one size does NOT fit all

🏛️
POLITICS
QA Heavy
8% min edge
SPORTS
Stats-driven
5% min edge
CRYPTO
High security
10% min edge
📈
FINANCE
Balanced
6% min edge
🎬
ENTERTAINMENT
Cultural synthesis
6% min edge
🔬
SCIENCE
Long lookback
8% min edge
🌍
GEOPOLITICS
Hardest
12% min edge
🎭
CULTURE
Chaos mode
7% min edge

🎯 Auto-Detection

System automatically detects category from question keywords

⚙️ Customizable

Override presets with custom weights for specific markets

06

AI-Recommended Weights

The Swarm analyzed itself to find optimal configurations

Category Top Agent Quant : AI Bias Penalty Min Edge Confidence
🏛️ Politics QA (25%) 35 : 65 45% 8% 70%
⚽ Sports SPECIALIST (40%) 70 : 30 10% 5% 60%
₿ Crypto SPECIALIST (30%) 60 : 40 35% 10% 65%
📈 Finance SPECIALIST (35%) 55 : 45 20% 6% 65%
🎬 Entertainment ARCHITECT (30%) 40 : 60 15% 6% 60%
🔬 Science SPECIALIST (25%) 35 : 65 25% 8% 65%
🌍 Geopolitics QA (30%) 25 : 75 50% 12% 75%
🎭 Culture ARCHITECT (30%) 45 : 55 20% 7% 55%
5%
Easiest (Sports)
12%
Hardest (Geopolitics)
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News Bias Engine

We don't trust all sources equally

📊
MBFC
Factual reporting
🛡️
NewsGuard
0-100 trust score
⚖️
AllSides
Political lean
📈
Ad Fontes
Bias + reliability

The Formula

adjusted_sentiment = raw_sentiment × reliability × (1 - bias_penalty)
Example: Fox News bullish article on politics
Raw: +0.80
Reliability: 0.70
Penalty: 0.45
→ Adjusted: 0.31
Strong opinion DISCOUNTED to mild signal
08

Self-Learning System

The AI improves from every prediction

📝
PREDICT
Make analysis
💾
TRACK
Log everything
RESOLVE
Market settles
🧠
LEARN
Analyze errors
ADAPT
Update weights

Per-Agent Tracking

Track Brier score for each agent per category. Lower = better predictions.

Calibration Analysis

"When QA says 80% confident, how often is it correct?"

Gradual Adaptation

10% new data + 90% old weights. Stable, no overfitting.

09

24/7 Market Monitoring

Never miss an opportunity

Every 15 Minutes

  • Scan 500+ active markets
  • 📈 Detect price spikes > 5%
  • 📊 Detect volume spikes > 200%
  • 📰 Check for news events
  • Flag stale analysis (>24h)

Auto-Escalation

Change detected →
QUICK scan (free)
Edge > 10%? →
STANDARD analysis ($0.15)
Edge > 20% + size > $5k? →
DEEP analysis ($1.00)
🔔

Alert: "BUY opportunity on [Market X] - 15% edge detected"

10

Monthly Cost Projections

Scalable from hobby to professional

Usage Level Daily Activity Monthly Cost ROI Target
Light 10 QUICK scans $0 Learning
Active 50 QUICK + 10 STANDARD $45 $500+ profit
Serious 100 QUICK + 20 STD + 5 DEEP $240 $2,500+ profit
Professional 500 QUICK + 50 STD + 10 DEEP $525 $5,000+ profit
$50
Daily Budget Cap
$1.5K
Monthly Maximum
10x
Target ROI
11

Approval Checklist

Architecture

  • Three-tier analysis modes
  • 7-agent Swarm system
  • 8 market category presets
  • Adaptive weight learning
  • News bias integration
  • 24/7 market monitoring

Budget

  • QUICK mode: FREE
  • STANDARD: ~$0.15/query
  • DEEP: ~$1.00/query
  • Daily cap: $50
  • Monthly max: $1,500
Approved By
Date
12

Let's Build It.

7 AI agents • Self-learning • 24/7 monitoring
The future of prediction market trading

Agents
7
Categories
8
Monitoring
24/7

© 2026 Neural Net Ninja • Confidential

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